News Item – Expert warns pandemic modelling far from exact science as B.C. prepares to release new projections

All eyes and ears will be on Victoria later this morning, with the province set to release its latest COVID-19 projections for the weeks and months ahead.

How long will it take to flatten the curve and start lifting lockdowns? That’s what everyone wants to know, and virus modelling gives an indication of when that might happen.

However, University of Toronto professor Dionne Aleman, a CHE affiliate and pandemic modelling expert, points out it’s not a precise science.

“It can’t give us an exact prediction, just because we don’t have exact numbers on exactly how many people are infected, or exactly how long they might stay infected, or exactly how people are transmitting the disease to the people around them,” she explains.

Full article at: City News 1130

BC计划5月放松限制 – BC plans to relax restrictions in May (posts.careerengine.us, April 18)